Interesting tidbit on the TIF beat: I alluded to this several weeks ago, regarding a Sterne Agee research note that pointed to a 92% correlation between TIF sales to stock market returns. In other words, they made the case for a TIF beat based solely upon the strength of the stock market. It actually makes a lot of common sense to me, especially because they are a luxury retailer. Not as impressive, but 2nd and 3rd on the list, was ANN and TLB. Food for thought.
The market has stabilized since this morning’s dumpout, led by the financials–now up 0.3%. A lot of stocks on my screen are still red; but some have managed to reverse course and head higher. Although I’d like to believe we’ve seen the days lows, I will not be committing new capital unless we get a steeper correction. I am interested in buying more YELP and starting position in both JWN and BID.
One sector bucking the trend are the ag stocks. I don’t know why. However, we’re heading into the planting season, so my money is on the shenanigans of the fucking farmers. Perhaps those greedy bastards are trading on some insider knowledge that there isn’t gonna be enough food for the world this summer and we’re all gonna starve to death. That would be glorious news for “ag plays.”
Personally, I like my positions here and glad to be rid of that disaster VXX. If forced to choose via shotgun to my head, I’d say YELP is going much higher and soon. Aside from the fact that YELP has 66 million users and is one of the more useful social media companies publicly traded, I find it indispensable. There have been a few occasions where I’ve taken a personal liking to products, only to see their share prices take off without me.
Off the top of my head, I loved the products of the following companies, but failed to hold onto the shares: MNST, BWLD, CMG, PNRA, AAPL, GMCR, WFM etc.
Bottom line: YELP is a fucking winner; you just don’t know it yet.
[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5uarA4AJh80 603 500] Comments »