I’M A UTILITY PLAYER

1,408 views

It’s important to note that although I am still partaking in parlour games and gambling amongst the canaille, I am still anticipating a dark aged style decline in the broader indices. My largest position is XLU, followed by QLYS and then GDX.

I invite you to get your affairs in order and see to it that your offspring are inserted into the living will and testament. Those wives cannot be entrusted with money for any extended period of time. They’ll likely spend it all on hand bags and luggage.

In the event the Fed says magical things and sends stocks higher, I have 30 horses to take to the promise land. If in fact we head lower, I have several positions, along with ample cash, that will permit me to buy the carnage and isolate me from the bedraggled fate of the Third Estate.

BLACK SMOKE, DUST, AND TRAGIC TRAGEDIES HIT WALL STREET

1,828 views

The market is down more than 200 and Greece is on the verge of taking another lunch break, eating gyros and chain smoking filterless cigarettes. Meanwhile on Wall Street, men in stupid suits are jumping out from windows. The margin clerks are sharpening their swords, fixing to liquidate accounts and leave them without equity.

Elevate yourselves and see what the man in the time machine is doing. His biggest position is AGIO (fuck with me, see what happens). His second largest holding is FEYE. Noticing a trend, fucked face?

You’ve got the tools necessary to bank coin. Do you think the stocks are just sitting waiting for you to buy them? You want to make money, CLOSE.

On a more serious note, my cash levels are low, which is why I sold some AGIO today. I am long that bitch from as low as $92 (fuck with me). I’m also still revenge trading HARD with FEYE, totally not giving a fuck about down NASDAQS or horrible and debilitating news for Europe.

“The Fly” transcends superficial human emotions. Like a robot, he attacks the market without provocation, but out of necessity.

The good people inside of Exodus know what to do. The rest of you are without paddle, in the middle of shark infested waters, waiting for the black smoke to choke you out.

The Biotech Implosion Has Begun

2,916 views

How big is my cash horde? I sold out of all of my trading positions but two: SAVE and the albatross itself AGIO. One cannot avoid all harm, at all times. With today’s sales, I’ve greatly reduced my exposure to equities and put myself in the position to buy up your margin liquidations.

As an industry, biotech is down almost 4% today. With stocks like AERI and CLDN decapitating traders, the sector has taken on a bubonic plague feel to it. I’ll buy more AGIO lower. The best thing for me to do now, up 20% for the year, heavy cash, big balls, is to wait for The PPT, or soon to be Exodus, flag an oversold signal.

There are ways to avoid draw-downs, sectors to buy that are defensive and such. But I don’t have an interest in that. “The Fly” is the market. His mood is directly affected by the buy/sell order flow of the investing hordes. The best thing that I can do for myself now is to block out all of you, cancel out the noise, and avoid being swayed by outside influences.

Fuck. I don’t even feel like telling jokes anymore. I had a good one that I typed into the computers, but then quickly erased it, due to my belief that none of you deserved to ever read it.

GROSS’N OUT

2,506 views

Yeah, JNS crushed estimates and Bill is outperforming ALL bond managers by 1.5%. B. “Fucking” Gross is back to his ole “give me all the bond money” outperformance, defecating on all of his peers, especially the bustas at PIMCO.

My top 3 positions are SAVE, JNS and AGIO. I’m waiting on AGIO to release their cure for cancer (maniacal laugh) and for my generic plane to take off.

I got lots of shit, like EBAY and PANW, straight gunning fuckers down. Pardon my use of a most profane vocabulary. It was never my intention to be one for all. Instead, I am all for one. “The Fly” hates most people, eager to lay waste to their foundations–while spilling his hot hot coffee, slowwwly, over their stupid heads.

Up 1.21% For the Day

2,819 views

My fucking arms are involuntarily punching people in the face now. That’s how hopped up I am on win. Step to me, ask me a question about a price to sales ratio, and you’re liable to get your jaw broken for you.

I don’t give a shit about the late day fade. I’m up almost 18% for the year thus far. I got Exodus ready to launch and advisors up my ass trying to get a piece of greatness.

You only live once (yolo) pal, so you might as well go balls to the wall when given the chance.

Speaking of which, how’d you like that close on DSKY?

Yeah buddy, that’s 100% premium cut winship for you right there.

Don't Bet Against Me from iBC on Vimeo.

Last of the Mohicans

3,614 views

Over the past 5 years, the single best sector to invest in has been in biotech. Big pharma has been desperately seeking to grow through acquisition, using their cash hordes to buy publicly traded r&d centers. More than that, they’re buying free cash flow, executing deals that are accretive to earnings. The latest takeout, SLXP, is just one of many that have been executed in recent years.

So who’s next?

For that, I did a simple search, scouring for companies doing over $100 million in revenues, free cash flow positive, growing revenues by more than 15%. Here is the short list.

DEPO
ACOR
ANIK
CBM
EBS
ENTA
INSY
LCI
PDLI
TECH
SGNT
ACET
CRL

Within the larger pharma names, here are my favorites to get taken over next.

JAZZ
MDVN
PCYC
TARO
QGEN
UTHR

That’s it. There’s a lot of chaff out there, names without revenues and earnings, pure speculative dice rolls. But there are only a few, with market caps under $20 billion, that are still independently traded. My favorites are JAZZ and MDVN, who are cash cows trading at reasonable valuations.

Biotech Setting Up For ‘Momentum Monday’

3,246 views

VRX buying SLXP for $14.5 billion is a huge deal. For one, SLXP is a piece of shit, which recently descended into hell after bad data. But like most biotech stocks, once the stock got flushed out, bargain shoppers stepped in, jacked the price higher–leading to a takeover.

In order to properly asses this deal and not get overly excited about the piece of shit micro caps that you own, let’s look at SLXP’s numbers.

1. The deal is being done at present levels, without a premium. This makes sense since SLXP is a piece of shit and is up 53% over the past 3 months.

2. SLPX’s market cap is $10 billion.

3. SLXP does over $1.3bill in revenues, growing in excess of 40% per annum.

4. SLXP is trading 7x sales

5. Up until recently, SLXP was netting between $20-50 million per quarter. Right now, they are bleeding out, likely due to ramping up R&D or marketing.

6. The company specializes in gastro-ailments.

Using the company search tool in The PPT, here are some results.

By industry:

ANIP
VIVO
ARDX
ASMB
ETRM
IRWD
HZNP
TRGT
SNGX
SGYP

By the numbers.

JAZZ (best match)
MDVN
PCYC
BMRN
ILMN

High Conviction Trades For 2015

3,773 views

I am keeping some of my oil stocks, no more than 10% of my overall portfolio as a call option on crude. I am only bearish on crude because the trend is now lower. However, if we’d simply use our grey matter and understand that the recent price decline will eventually lead to a great reduction in US rig counts and subsequent cap ex budgets, at a time when the economy is growing at an astounding 5%, we’d easily surmise that lower oil prices is now something that is unsustainable. That’s right. Despite all of my arch-pessimism, there is an extremely bullish case for oil stocks setting up in 2015.

To that end, I remain long SLCA, DVN, FMSA and ECR.

However, I am not keenly focused on crude at the moment. There are global games being played in that arena and I don’t have an edge.

These are some of my stronger ideas, with a one or two liner explaining my thesis.

DTSI: Electronics maker and chief competitor to Sonos. I wrote a piece on it a month ago.

JAZZ: Don’t sleep on narcolepsy.

FRO: Super-contango and lower Brent prices is bullish for oil tanker storage.

AMZN: Fuel prices.

SBUX: Aspirational.

HABT: The MCD killer.Shake Shack ipo should keep this popping throughout 2015.

LB: Thongs.

KMB: Domestic sales. Staple.

BID: One of my 30 year hold stocks.

PZZA: Fuel prices.

WFM: Aspirational.

Gas station plays: CST, CASY, TA and IMKTA.

STZ: Domestic sales.

Researching: AIRT

In summary, I am bullish on aspirational brands because lower fuel expenses pushes the poor guy to his local SBUX for a frappacino. Think of the economy as a video game and a bunch of disheveled poor guys just got upgraded. They will take their new found riches to stores that were slightly out of their price range, in order to bask in their new found riches, and spend it all. They will also extend their credit and delve deeper into debt, which is bullish for COF. I am bullish on cleaner eating and healthier choices. Rich or poor, Americans are moving in this direction, which is also bullish for WWAV, HAIN and CALM. Yes, eggs are healthy for you.

Domestic retailers are where you want to keep your money, thanks to our walled gardens. Avoid companies who whore their wares to third world neanderthals. These corporations are gluttonous and shall be punished. Stocks like CHD, CLX and IR will do well.

I also think AMZN busts loose soon and YELP catches a bid.

All of my bad trades in 2014 were in retarded stocks. I will try my hardest to avoid these cavernous black holes, until I fully regain my mojo of course.

I’M A UTILITY PLAYER

1,408 views

It’s important to note that although I am still partaking in parlour games and gambling amongst the canaille, I am still anticipating a dark aged style decline in the broader indices. My largest position is XLU, followed by QLYS and then GDX.

I invite you to get your affairs in order and see to it that your offspring are inserted into the living will and testament. Those wives cannot be entrusted with money for any extended period of time. They’ll likely spend it all on hand bags and luggage.

In the event the Fed says magical things and sends stocks higher, I have 30 horses to take to the promise land. If in fact we head lower, I have several positions, along with ample cash, that will permit me to buy the carnage and isolate me from the bedraggled fate of the Third Estate.

BLACK SMOKE, DUST, AND TRAGIC TRAGEDIES HIT WALL STREET

1,828 views

The market is down more than 200 and Greece is on the verge of taking another lunch break, eating gyros and chain smoking filterless cigarettes. Meanwhile on Wall Street, men in stupid suits are jumping out from windows. The margin clerks are sharpening their swords, fixing to liquidate accounts and leave them without equity.

Elevate yourselves and see what the man in the time machine is doing. His biggest position is AGIO (fuck with me, see what happens). His second largest holding is FEYE. Noticing a trend, fucked face?

You’ve got the tools necessary to bank coin. Do you think the stocks are just sitting waiting for you to buy them? You want to make money, CLOSE.

On a more serious note, my cash levels are low, which is why I sold some AGIO today. I am long that bitch from as low as $92 (fuck with me). I’m also still revenge trading HARD with FEYE, totally not giving a fuck about down NASDAQS or horrible and debilitating news for Europe.

“The Fly” transcends superficial human emotions. Like a robot, he attacks the market without provocation, but out of necessity.

The good people inside of Exodus know what to do. The rest of you are without paddle, in the middle of shark infested waters, waiting for the black smoke to choke you out.

The Biotech Implosion Has Begun

2,916 views

How big is my cash horde? I sold out of all of my trading positions but two: SAVE and the albatross itself AGIO. One cannot avoid all harm, at all times. With today’s sales, I’ve greatly reduced my exposure to equities and put myself in the position to buy up your margin liquidations.

As an industry, biotech is down almost 4% today. With stocks like AERI and CLDN decapitating traders, the sector has taken on a bubonic plague feel to it. I’ll buy more AGIO lower. The best thing for me to do now, up 20% for the year, heavy cash, big balls, is to wait for The PPT, or soon to be Exodus, flag an oversold signal.

There are ways to avoid draw-downs, sectors to buy that are defensive and such. But I don’t have an interest in that. “The Fly” is the market. His mood is directly affected by the buy/sell order flow of the investing hordes. The best thing that I can do for myself now is to block out all of you, cancel out the noise, and avoid being swayed by outside influences.

Fuck. I don’t even feel like telling jokes anymore. I had a good one that I typed into the computers, but then quickly erased it, due to my belief that none of you deserved to ever read it.

GROSS’N OUT

2,506 views

Yeah, JNS crushed estimates and Bill is outperforming ALL bond managers by 1.5%. B. “Fucking” Gross is back to his ole “give me all the bond money” outperformance, defecating on all of his peers, especially the bustas at PIMCO.

My top 3 positions are SAVE, JNS and AGIO. I’m waiting on AGIO to release their cure for cancer (maniacal laugh) and for my generic plane to take off.

I got lots of shit, like EBAY and PANW, straight gunning fuckers down. Pardon my use of a most profane vocabulary. It was never my intention to be one for all. Instead, I am all for one. “The Fly” hates most people, eager to lay waste to their foundations–while spilling his hot hot coffee, slowwwly, over their stupid heads.

Up 1.21% For the Day

2,819 views

My fucking arms are involuntarily punching people in the face now. That’s how hopped up I am on win. Step to me, ask me a question about a price to sales ratio, and you’re liable to get your jaw broken for you.

I don’t give a shit about the late day fade. I’m up almost 18% for the year thus far. I got Exodus ready to launch and advisors up my ass trying to get a piece of greatness.

You only live once (yolo) pal, so you might as well go balls to the wall when given the chance.

Speaking of which, how’d you like that close on DSKY?

Yeah buddy, that’s 100% premium cut winship for you right there.

Don't Bet Against Me from iBC on Vimeo.

Last of the Mohicans

3,614 views

Over the past 5 years, the single best sector to invest in has been in biotech. Big pharma has been desperately seeking to grow through acquisition, using their cash hordes to buy publicly traded r&d centers. More than that, they’re buying free cash flow, executing deals that are accretive to earnings. The latest takeout, SLXP, is just one of many that have been executed in recent years.

So who’s next?

For that, I did a simple search, scouring for companies doing over $100 million in revenues, free cash flow positive, growing revenues by more than 15%. Here is the short list.

DEPO
ACOR
ANIK
CBM
EBS
ENTA
INSY
LCI
PDLI
TECH
SGNT
ACET
CRL

Within the larger pharma names, here are my favorites to get taken over next.

JAZZ
MDVN
PCYC
TARO
QGEN
UTHR

That’s it. There’s a lot of chaff out there, names without revenues and earnings, pure speculative dice rolls. But there are only a few, with market caps under $20 billion, that are still independently traded. My favorites are JAZZ and MDVN, who are cash cows trading at reasonable valuations.

Biotech Setting Up For ‘Momentum Monday’

3,246 views

VRX buying SLXP for $14.5 billion is a huge deal. For one, SLXP is a piece of shit, which recently descended into hell after bad data. But like most biotech stocks, once the stock got flushed out, bargain shoppers stepped in, jacked the price higher–leading to a takeover.

In order to properly asses this deal and not get overly excited about the piece of shit micro caps that you own, let’s look at SLXP’s numbers.

1. The deal is being done at present levels, without a premium. This makes sense since SLXP is a piece of shit and is up 53% over the past 3 months.

2. SLPX’s market cap is $10 billion.

3. SLXP does over $1.3bill in revenues, growing in excess of 40% per annum.

4. SLXP is trading 7x sales

5. Up until recently, SLXP was netting between $20-50 million per quarter. Right now, they are bleeding out, likely due to ramping up R&D or marketing.

6. The company specializes in gastro-ailments.

Using the company search tool in The PPT, here are some results.

By industry:

ANIP
VIVO
ARDX
ASMB
ETRM
IRWD
HZNP
TRGT
SNGX
SGYP

By the numbers.

JAZZ (best match)
MDVN
PCYC
BMRN
ILMN

High Conviction Trades For 2015

3,773 views

I am keeping some of my oil stocks, no more than 10% of my overall portfolio as a call option on crude. I am only bearish on crude because the trend is now lower. However, if we’d simply use our grey matter and understand that the recent price decline will eventually lead to a great reduction in US rig counts and subsequent cap ex budgets, at a time when the economy is growing at an astounding 5%, we’d easily surmise that lower oil prices is now something that is unsustainable. That’s right. Despite all of my arch-pessimism, there is an extremely bullish case for oil stocks setting up in 2015.

To that end, I remain long SLCA, DVN, FMSA and ECR.

However, I am not keenly focused on crude at the moment. There are global games being played in that arena and I don’t have an edge.

These are some of my stronger ideas, with a one or two liner explaining my thesis.

DTSI: Electronics maker and chief competitor to Sonos. I wrote a piece on it a month ago.

JAZZ: Don’t sleep on narcolepsy.

FRO: Super-contango and lower Brent prices is bullish for oil tanker storage.

AMZN: Fuel prices.

SBUX: Aspirational.

HABT: The MCD killer.Shake Shack ipo should keep this popping throughout 2015.

LB: Thongs.

KMB: Domestic sales. Staple.

BID: One of my 30 year hold stocks.

PZZA: Fuel prices.

WFM: Aspirational.

Gas station plays: CST, CASY, TA and IMKTA.

STZ: Domestic sales.

Researching: AIRT

In summary, I am bullish on aspirational brands because lower fuel expenses pushes the poor guy to his local SBUX for a frappacino. Think of the economy as a video game and a bunch of disheveled poor guys just got upgraded. They will take their new found riches to stores that were slightly out of their price range, in order to bask in their new found riches, and spend it all. They will also extend their credit and delve deeper into debt, which is bullish for COF. I am bullish on cleaner eating and healthier choices. Rich or poor, Americans are moving in this direction, which is also bullish for WWAV, HAIN and CALM. Yes, eggs are healthy for you.

Domestic retailers are where you want to keep your money, thanks to our walled gardens. Avoid companies who whore their wares to third world neanderthals. These corporations are gluttonous and shall be punished. Stocks like CHD, CLX and IR will do well.

I also think AMZN busts loose soon and YELP catches a bid.

All of my bad trades in 2014 were in retarded stocks. I will try my hardest to avoid these cavernous black holes, until I fully regain my mojo of course.

Previous Posts by Dr. Fly
Fly Buy: $BLCM
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