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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Fly Buy: FXP

I bought 2,000 [[FXP]] @ $84.95.

Disclaimer: If you buy FXP because of this post, aliens will fuck up your corn crop. And, you may lose money.

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Banks Can’t Bounce

The market is trying to bounce here; but the fucking banks are not cooperating. Once again, they need a catalyst to sprint higher. You can’t buy them on weakness. Look at [[FED]], [[WB]], [[FMBI]], etc. I can go on and on.

The fact of the matter is, investors are deathly afraid of the banks, especially the regional variety. My shorts in FMBI, [[TCB]], [[PACW]] and [[BBT]] are working just fine.

However, it’s worth noting, non-bank shorts are not doing too well. My positions in [[FXP]], [[REW]], [[TWM]], [[SMN]] and [[CLF]] are clubbing me to sleep. Fuck, just looking at CLF makes me want to go take a nap.

Other banks on my hit list include:

[[WFSL]] (I should not have covered), [[CMA]], [[CYN]], [[SNV]], [[PZN]] (no stock available) and [[EWBC]].

On the long side, I like [[RIG]], [[HANS]] and [[RIMM]] for a trade.

NOTE: [[MXB]] is 10 points rich too. I like to bet against the name. However, at the moment, the volume is very thin.

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REPORT: Credit Crisis May Cost $1.6 Trillion

Gameover, Motherllamas.

Geneva – The global financial crisis could lead to losses of 1,600 billion dollars for financial institutes, according a report in the Swiss Sunday newspaper SonntagsZeitung. It quoted a confidential study by the hedge fund Bridgewater Associates as saying losses for banks holding risky assets could be four times greater than the 400 billion dollars previously estimated. 

The hedge fund expressed doubts that the financial institutes would be able to drum up enough funds to cover the losses, something it said could exacerbate the crisis. 

Bridgewater, one of the world’s biggest hedge funds, based its calculations on the state of risky debt-based US assets, such as mortgages, credit and credit card demands. 

The value of such risky assets is 26,600 billion dollars, according to the hedge fund. The losses would amount to 1,600 billion dollars if these assets were valued at market rates and not in the form of securitization, the newspaper said.

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Asshat of the Week Award: Larry Kudlow


Larry Kudlow, Asshat


What better way to celebrate the 4th of July than giving “Larry of America” an Asshat award?

I like Larry. I really do.

If he and I were friends, I’d probably drink a few bottles of whiskey with him, then challenge him to a game of knuckle punching.

However, this man is out of control. A regular lunatic he is.

Look, the country is fucked. Okay? Quit fucking around, telling people shit is good, when 3/4th’s of American industry is distressed.

As you know by now, Larry likes to play games on the television. He invites a cast of ridiculous permabulls to his show, then proceeds to have circle jerks with them, talking about bullish shit—while dismissing the negatives as “nonsense.”

What this sick bastard does next is reprehensible. He invites reasonable people to join him for a discussion about the economy, like Barry; then he proceeds to attack that one guy for being a “doom and gloomer,” with the rest of his circle jerk panel echoing his sentiments.

A real sick bastard, that Kudlow is. Sicko!

Ironically, Larry believes he is “doing right” by the American people, via offering optimistic jargon. However, in reality, he is nothing more than a propagandist for the fucktards who made this mess. My guess, Larry’s stupefied rants have resulted in an increase in the foreclosure rate, due to loyal viewers blindly buying stocks, no matter what, on his advice.

For that, Mr. Larry of America, you get an Asshat award.

Happy 4th, fuckers.

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Fly Sell: CLF

I sold short 3,000 [[CLF]] @ $96.

Disclaimer: If you sell short CLF because of this post, some jerk off will throw a pack of jumping jacks in your car. And, you may lose money.

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A Short Tale in Flydom

The market is up, but the important sectors (energy, steel, banks, ag) are weak. Today is an abbreviated session, so don’t expect much. The real fireworks (pun intended) will begin on Monday.

There are a few things “The Fly” is proud of:

For one, I am immensely proud of my children. They are beautiful and amazing. Also, I am proud to be married to such a beautiful/intelligent woman, who happens to be a great cook, Mother and companion.

Thirdly, “The Fly” is proud to be short [[FMBI]], [[TCB]] and [[PACW]].

All three of those fucking stocks bring tears to my eye, when I reminisce over the first day I sold them.

I still remember, to this day. It was a muggy summer afternoon. My trader/servant was out and about, eating a bagel or some shit, while I had to execute my own fucking trades. Can you believe that?

Anyway, “The Fly” was pissed off, throwing paintings around the office, punching the refrigerator and yelling at the people around him. Then, all of a sudden, he looked up at his screen and saw the letters F-M-B-I.

He was intrigued!

Immediately, he raced back to his desk and sold short 20,000 shares and laughed with glee, for he knew right then and there those four letters were going to make him rich-er.

Then, like 15 minutes later, “The Fly’s” trader/servant came back and said: “Fly, you know that asshole down the hall who you hate”?

Fly replied: “Yeah, what did that asshole want”?

The trader/servant replied: “He said he was sorry about coming into your office with his shoes on. He said he wants to make it up to you. He said to buy TCB and PACW.”

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