iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
20,179 Blog Posts

Supply Chain Constraints Offer New Leg Lower Potential for Stocks

Peter Navarro is out talking greasy about China restricting exportation of N-95 face masks and said the US is working diligently to firm up the domestic supply chain. This can only mean one thing — more business for APT and LAKE.

I am long APT.

I executed two day trades today, COCP for +44% and SPCE for +8%.

Here is the balance of my closed trades.

NNVC +63%
SOXS +21%
FAZ +7.8%
JNUG +5.2%
ZM +3.8%
STMP +85%

See pal, that’s who I am. Fuck you go home and play with your kids.

Although tempted to buy the dip, I restrained myself due to the chance of a stark morning dip following the destruction of European markets. I am 40% cash now, long a sundry of highly spec virus related plays and other things. It was a fine day, perhaps the best of the year for folks inside Exodus — because we made so much money on a day where everyone else lost.

This small bounce following the -1,000 print feels like a trap, but it could be legit. I do see staggering losses in the commodity space. Look at steel demand in China, comically offline.

Perhaps it’s best to wait for some dust to settle before legging into semis, no?

On the other hand, speculation is running rampant in the virus/face mask sector now. Quit being such misers and invest in your future lads. Join Exodus today and get a free Orbital Space Cannon (OSC).

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21 comments

  1. jbandy

    This sell-off is contrived by the quants to trudge up some volatility to juice returns. Nothing really changed on the coronavirus front since last week. A little incremental good news including from Mnuchin, Kudlow, or the Fed and we are going to see a +600 day. Sorry but I’ve been PAVLOV’d to be an optimist and have faith in policy-makers to do whatever is necessary to pump the markets and asset prices. Out entire retirement system depends on it.

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    • numbersgame

      “Nothing really changed?”
      There are 1000 people in South Korea, Iran, and Italy that would beg to differ.

      Also, anyone that thinks Africa only has 1 case (Egypt) doesn’t know wnythign about this virus.

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  2. heckler

    You traded SPCE today you fucking animal?\

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    • The Equalizer

      Yeah, he caught the meat of the measured move in 20 minutes off that little intraday pennant.

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  3. heckler

    Starting to think stocks have had their move for now and that I should rotate funds heavily into mega crytpo. Will it be seen as a safehaven? Digital motherfucking Gold. I’m waiting for a sign that people believe then I’m going in big. This virus shit is gonna get nasty bitches. I’m seeing Chinese motherfuckers wearing masks in their cars on the freeway here. Fuck china. Fuck bat soup. Fuck that. And Fuck Fly for not sharing cool flu picks and eat a bag of dicks

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  4. it is showtime

    Oops.

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  5. heckler

    Here’s how this is gonna work FAGS. Flu -> elections -> Trump not leaving -> even purer forms of chaos than we’ve ever seen.

    I’d say long term support is around 2600-2700 SPX I’m never bearish but 2020 is over fuckers we gonna test

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  6. heckler

    They are watching 700+ motherfuckers here in WA state and they set up an RV park in a parking lot in my hood to quarantine stupid bitches who went to China. I’m probably gonna get this flu motherfucks. I will live it will probably kill my parents.

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    • ericbakerbruce

      Get out their basement then.

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      • heckler

        I’m gonna take care of them once we all have it dick face but they are old AF

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    • numbersgame

      heckler,
      US quarantine isn’t going to work becuase they have been very slow to react. The CDC understandsthis which is why they say that there *will* be a lot more US cases, not that there *might* be.

      Remember, the first thing they did was screen people at airports using with infrared thermometers (ignoring the fact that the non-medical oes are inacccurate). These peopel wandered around for several days before people beleived China who said that asymptomatic people could pass the disease.

      They still aren’t duing a “hard” quarantine like China has:
      1) only Americans that traveled to Hubei are being quarantined; trevelers to other parts of China will “self-monitor” at home
      2) travelers who rerturned from China before Feb 2 face no quarantine or any other restrictions

      Making more friends, EBB?

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      • heckler

        I listened to the CDC call with the press – they are going to mobile this week. And that will fucking freak people out for real

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        • numbersgame

          The one on the 21st? No mention of Mobile, AL.

          https://www.cdc.gov/media/

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          • heckler

            Sorry typo I meant the CDC is going to mobilize this week. Community measures meaning signs and shit that you should wash you hands and avoid public surfaces. Just wait. Gonna be scary

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          • heckler

            A found a link online it was the CDC press call they are public but I don’t know direct link

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  7. raw doggy

    Fly!!! Can’t believe the market was down a thousand pts and I banked 20k today!! Thanks for the fish! Gracias amigo

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  8. hybullshit

    Thanks to FLY blog, I bought puts last Thursday. Sold some Friday. And regret not backing up the truck to pickup more SPY puts. FLY is the man !!!!!

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  9. bitcoin fag

    Great job today Ace. Managed to follow a couple of your trades today in the Pelican Room. Made my day a profitable one. Indeud

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    • bitcoin fag

      When I told my wife about today’s gains, she assured me that both a steak and a BJ were in order. Thanks Exodus.

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  10. helen

    Those of you who are thinking about buying the dip, have to answer to yourself these questions; What’s going to stop the virus and when? There’s not one single good news in the way of containment. Short of a vaccine, we’re looking at global economic shutdown! So buy the dip as a short term (very short) trade. Otherwise, you could be throwing money in a bottomless pit.
    Those of you who think that Bitcoin is a better safe haven than gold, today’s move answered this for you.

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