iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
20,581 Blog Posts

MASTER OF DISASTER

Into the teeth of the apocalypse, masterfully, Le Fly was 70% positioned into virus stocks. I sold them all, save 1, this morning. Here are the results.

NNVC +32%
NNVC +319%
CODX +28%
CODX +61.4%
VIR +25.9%
INO +50%
AHPI +48%
NVAX +11%
NVAX +28.9%
APT +29.3%
LAKE +17.5%
LAKE +25.2%

That’s not a typo, pal. See some of you pretend to yourselves that you’re equipped for all markets. But in reality, when the chips are down and the markets dive down 500 — you get BOGGED the fuck out because you’re nothing but a bull market catamite.

“The Fly” reigns supreme, percentage gains off the charts. Men of quality and substance will understand what I just did was nothing short of staggering. To all those who followed me into the pits of hell, you’re welcomed. To everyone else, better luck next time.

95% cash — counting my wins.

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27 comments

  1. juice

    #EPIC #BALLZ-sack-to-the-WALLZ

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  2. numbersgame

    Nice play, Fly. At this point, Virus stocks are a pure, 100% gamble. Only the Chinese know whether the threat is real because they are the only ones with enough data.

    That genius docotr from Harvard didnd’t do any research on the virus himself, but relied on a report from Lncaster Universtity. If you actaulyl read what he wrote, it’s a giant “if” statement:

    *****IF***** the rate of infection is 2.6 – 3.8, then calamity.

    Everyone is only concentrating on that second part. Also, those guys at Lancaster that wrote the report don’t seem to be the kind of detail-oriented researchers that you want to rely on. Here is their report: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v1.full.pdf

    Here is my takeaway:
    Media panic: “100k infections by Friday” Note that figure 4 shows “all” infections and “detectable” infections. Only Detectable infections are reported, becuase they are the only ones that show ANY symptoms. So if the report is correct, then we will still see under 20k infections by Friday.

    In terms of attention to details, please note that on the Y-axis, charts on Figure 4 are all lablled “*New* infections, *per day*. However, the contetn of the paper of the paper quotes these exact same numbers as *Total* infections. There is a HUGE difference between 100k total infection in a week, and 100k new infections **per day** (and accelerating). However, the Lnacaster team seemed more eager to publish than for accuracy. Hopefully they fix this.

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    • numbersgame

      Unsurprisingly, viruse stocks are getting wrecked today. Buying virus stocks was an easy play – knowing when to sell them is trickier, which is why i didn’t risk gettign in.

      Exodus members, remember to thank Fly for telling you when to sell as well (unless you are still holding them…).

      In tems of 2019-nCov, the westerns countries decided to import some potential infectees en masse: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-prepares-emergency-evacuation-americans-epidemic-stricken-chinese-city

      This means one of two things:
      1) The West is stupid and politicians are doing it from pressure
      2) The West plans to quarantine all the passengers for 2-4 weeks for better data on the virus, since the Chinese are untrustworthy

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      • numbersgame

        Reading the CD transcript ( https://www.cdc.gov/media/releases/2020/t0127-coronavirus-update.html ), its clear that they think that the risk of non-syptomatic people infecting others is very low (ie, the Chinese Health Minister was probably lying).

        In that case, this will still be very disruptive to China, but the effects on other countires will be minimal in terms of population health and the GDP effects will be secondary, related to the CHinese slowdown.

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  3. cancel19

    This squirrel is proud to be a Pelican. $$$

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  4. awanka

    Masterstroke, Mr. Fly.

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  5. soupbone

    China says you can carry and be contagious with no symptoms. Handy statement eh? A clear exit of blame for them. Meanwhile, they are endorsing a stigmatism into people not unlike being positive (HIV) which is always held at complete confidentiality. Assholes.

    In any case, positive with no symptoms is an extension of reality for some media here too. No sneezing, no runny nose, no coughing, no watery eyes means automatically way less risk during that period than is suggested.

    As long as the masks etc are on TV they will be hot sellers here too.

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  6. numbersgame

    Exactly. Also, there is a huge difference in overall infection rates with a virus that can be contagious for 14 days when the carrier has no symptoms. It would be explosive if this was actually true.

    In epidemic terms, the one good thing about having this start in an amoral authoritarian country such as China, is that they have no qualms about locking peopel up and lettign them die until the epidemic is over, so that will minimize the spread to the rest of the world.

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  7. juice

    Fly and his fish of evil death hath enabled me to sleep on bags full-o $$$$$$$$$

    thanks senor monsieur le flea sir ! 😛

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  8. doughjadank

    Only a being of supreme intelligence could fish for himself and others in such a productive manner.

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  9. mintdragon

    we’ve kicking ass for the past few trading days on all the contagion. if you aren’t part of the Pelican Room in Exodus, well… have fun not doubling your money everyday. cheers.

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  10. bitcoin fag

    Thanks Fly this week’s fish have been best ever. These picks and so much more inside The Pelican Room. Including stonkLabs coming soon….

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  11. indexjoe

    Thanks Fly for the great virus trades. I’m up 20% for the year. As someone who is permanently disabled (ear) I want to thank-you for not being ableist and helping me out.

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  12. a99kitten

    Amazing returns so far this year! 2020 is the Year of The Fly. 🙂

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  13. roguewave

    Masterfully played if there is such a word!

    There was mayhem in the Penguin Room this morning, with champagne corks flying.

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  14. one-eighty

    Kobe +
    Coronavirus +
    Trump/Bolton +
    Boeing +

    = markets tank

    There’s too much bad stuff around for anyone to buy stock.

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    • numbersgame

      On Bolton:
      it’s easy enough for Trumptards to just put their fingers in their years and just say “he’s lying.” Look at how they former “best people” are treated. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cabinet_of_Donald_Trump
      https://thehill.com/policy/finance/346821-trumps-business-advisory-council-disbands-report

      The only thing that could possible change the outcome of the impeachemnt trial is one of Trump’s current Yes men (Mulvaney, Mnuchin, Pompeo, etc.) are forced to testify under oath and decied not to perjure themselves. However, that will never happen.

      The goal of Romney, Collins, etc. is not to find the truth, but to have enough witnesses to make it look like they aren’t Trump boot-lickers. Obamacare has been the ONLY time Republicans stood up to Trump in a way that matters (by causing him to lose a vote). For Example, she is supposedly all about women’s rights, but then voted for Kavenaugh anyway. Pretty hypocritical.

      It will be very hard for Romeny and Collins to not call Bolton at this point, but the real litmus test is if they call any of Trump’s men to confirm/deny the story or if they let them do it on Fox Nwws (not under oath…) instead.

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  15. MSGT HARTMAN

    Paper is easy to trade. When money is involved it becomes a sticky wiket

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    • Dr. Fly

      Fat fuck moron

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    • numbersgame

      Yes, it IS, Mr. “I’m up ___% for the year but never post my holdings or trades”

      Of all the dickheads on this site, you are the literally (and I *do* mean “literally”) the last one I’d expect to post a comment like that.

      Beside, if he were lying that bad, don’t you think one of his subscribers would be pissed and telling about it? Also, he even posted his recent trades so anyone can verify his recent calls.

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      • MSGT HARTMAN

        I’ve posted my portfolio here the past three years dickweed.

        Ask Heckler or look back at my previous posts asshole.

        +5.49% YTD

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  16. numbersgame

    As a non-Exodus sub, I can say there are pelnty of times that I’ve called out some of Fly’s trades as basically luck (gaisn on earnigns or other surprise news) or essentailly pump-and-dump (gains on low-volume small caps after posting about them).

    However, the overall positve record is still there and his Virus trades are a good example (although their samll cap nature does juice the gains. Does anyone realize that NNVC only has 17 empoyees? https://money.cnn.com/quote/profile/profile.html?symb=NNVC)

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  17. chuck bennett

    To all you free loading idiots.

    I bought NVVC at 6.95, I more than double my coin over the weekend. INO at 4.35, LAKE at 10.5, BCRX at 3.10 and CODX at a fucking buck and a quarter. 1.25 for all you retards.

    He abused today me until I bought LLIT at 1.95, it trades 3.30 after hours.

    Bottom line, go kill yourselves if you’re not making money or are not a paying member.

    Regards

    Chuck Bennett

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  18. mrcharlie

    WHO RUN BARTERTOWN??!?!? hahaahaaaa

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