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Litecoin flexing, Bitcoin stalling

Litecoin is up almost 300% in four days. Why?

Some say Litecoin is undervalued vs Bitcoin. Litecoin is a Bitcoin fork that will often integrate new features before Bitcoin. It is joked that Litecoin is Bitcoin’s testbed. Maybe the run is because Charlie Lee, the founder of Litecoin, was on CNBC. Or some people see Litecoin as silver to Bitcoin’s gold.

While Litecoin is comparatively cheap and fast vs Bitcoin (especially when transaction volume on Bitcoin is high) the biggest factor in my opinion is Litecoin is one of the three coins listed on Coinbase (BTC, ETH, LTC). Coinbase is the largest exchange in the US. With that limited exposure it’s natural the lowest priced asset catches a bid, especially in this frothy environment. Coinbase was adding 100,000 new users a day in November. This new money can buy one of the three coins they list: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin. They are buying to be in the market, they are not buying based on an astute evaluation of the nuanced differences between Coinbase’s offerings.

Given those choices many pass on Bitcoin due to price. Ethereum has been in the news with network problems and is over $400. Litecoin looked cheap at $60 last week.

This youtuber sold his house to buy Litecoin when it was ~$4. Congrats to this guy.

In the meantime Bitcoin has stalled around $17,000. Bitcoin is carrying the biggest market cap, is on the news daily, is listed on the CME and it’s weekly chart is vertical.

If Bitcoin falters expect the market to follow. Crypto has had extreme gains in Q4, even by Crypto standards. When the pundits talk Crypto non stop you know the price action is unsustainable.

I am not calling a top (yet). I don’t think you can, but this price action raises a flag to me. Is Bitcoin accumulating for the next push or in distribution for a sell off? I have charted predictions from 17k to 48k in this current move. We’re in unknown territory. We are in the early stages of a tremendous shift but there will be violent swings.

Here’s what I do know. A coin on Coinbase has a big leg up in Crypto. In the near future (possibly by Jan 1st) Coinbase is adding more coins to its offering. I expect rapid price appreciation for these coins. One of those coins will Bitcoin Cash. Along with opening trading Coinbase will be granting access to Bitcoin Cash to any user who had Bitcoin on Coinbase during the fork on August 1st. Many may sell, but I think there will be more buyers than sellers. Get ahead of that event if you can.

 

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Bitcoin is a dumpster fire

You’ve got to be fucking kidding me. I posted this yesterday.

We topped at $19,700. Life is cruel. Bon Apetit I guess.

We are experiencing an “accelerated buying opportunity”. Haha no, we’re not. We may be in for a $10,000 candle. We’re currently forming a $5k doji on the HOURLY. Insane.

Luckily as a veteran of the crypto wars I am 100% dead inside. $5,000 hourly candles? Fucking bring it. DO YOUR BEST. I have stared into the void. I am fearless.

I also own ZERO Bitcoin right now so this is pure entertainment for me.

 

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Bitcoin: Party, Parabola, Paradigm shift or Ponzi?

The Bitcoin party won’t stop. Crypto traders are doing virtual keg stands on Twitter waving their dicks around showing pictures of new houses they bought with Magic Internet Money.

Yes, we’re all getting rich and you’re not.

Bitcoin is over $16,000 this morning. I’ll say what you’re thinking: “that’s retarded”. However, as Warren Buffett said, “the market can stay retarded longer than you stay solvent”. Do not try to call a top on this. Ask me how I know.

So, is Bitcoin a Parabola, Paradigm shift or Ponzi?

If you said all of the above you are correct!

Parabola is easy to prove. Here’s the weekly chart. It’s top kek.

 

Is Bitcoin a Paradigm Shift? Turn on CNBC and watch the pontificators pontificate about Bitcoin endlessly. But that means little. Watch this video I made from April 2017.

The video shows the adoption rate of new technologies. Crypto is in the early stages of S Curve adoption. Cryptocurrency is PROGRAMMABLE money. Yes, this leads to hilarious CATastrophes like CryptoKitties wrecking the Ethereum network but it also opens the door to some Star Trek shit in the near future. Bitcoin is an incredibly deep rabbit hole. If you get anything from my blogs just get that Crypto is bigger than the Internet and comparatively we’re still in AOL days. You will bend the knee or have your dick guillotined.

Is Bitcoin a Ponzi? At this point, yes. Bitcoin has printed a $5,000 Weekly candle. It’s Thursday. Like any good ponzi it’s hard to say how high it will go. Crypto needed an enema. This will be a colon cleanse of epic proportions. When it happens you want to be ready.

Oh, and Sunday night CME opens futures. I suspect that will be disastrous. However, the Street may decide to build the ponzi to fleece their clients before pricking the bubble.

My top picks are BCH, XMR and EOS. I tweeted trades on XMR and EOS that returned great gains past couple weeks. Follow me here: https://twitter.com/coinspeak_io

 

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Bitcoin to the Moon

On the move today so I am going to share some videos.

I was on the local news yesterday.

Older vid I did on Bitcoin entering parabolic phase.

For your entertainment:

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Bitcoin $10,000

BTC is currently trading at $9650. Up ~15% this weekend. $10k is our god given right at this point.

I made a vid on what I think will happen from a TA perspective.

Part two is here:

I moved from BTC to BCH in August and September. BTC has been a great performer.  BCH has been better.

BCH is ~$1700. I believe if it breaks $1750 in this FOMO environment it will quickly move to $2100. Keep an eye on that level the next 48 hours.

MGTI and GBTC should go full retard Monday morning.

The entire cryptoverse needs a good correction but that doesn’t mean BTC won’t hit 20k by Christmas first. Sounds ridiculous. Totally possible.

My hourly portfolio swings in this volatility now exceed the dollar value of my base investment by 200%. The gains in crypto are real.

Keep an eye on the BTC substitutes LTC and VTC. When BCH resumes gaining ground on BTC the BTC substitutes will have huge moves.

I remain irresponsibly allocated long in BCH confident that BCH will reign supreme and Monero will have an epic 2018.

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Bitcoin Thanksgiving is cancelled

There will be no rest this weekend for Bitcoiners.

Bitcoin Core (AKA BTC) will have a scheduled “difficulty adjustment” sometime on Saturday. A “DA” occurs every 2016 blocks. During this time the algorithm for mining difficulty adjusts according to current conditions to maintain a consistent rate of new blocks/bitcoins into the system.

There are rumors that the mining power for Bitcoin will shift shortly after this adjustment to Bitcoin Cash (AKA BCH). This would cause big problems for Bitcoin as Bitcoin would become slow and (more) expensive while also being the furthest distance possible from the next difficulty adjustment to make up for lost mining power. This sudden shift in mining power could lead to a death spiral for Bitcoin Core.

This might be the beginning of the “flippening” where Bitcoin Cash replaces Bitcoin as the dominant crypto currency.

One way for BTC to counter this is if BTC price continues higher so it is more profitable to mine than BCH. And look, BTC is at all time highs.

If you haven’t hedged your BTC position with BCH you have a few days left. I don’t know if this will happen as outlined. It’s been publicly discussed in many communities so it should not be a surprise. I expect that Bitcoin Core has a contingency plan.

None of the above may take place, but if it does you’ve been warned.

I personally do not think it would be healthy for crypto in general to have a fast and violent flippening. It would be very disruptive. People would lose a lot of money (BCH holders would get rich very quickly tho) and it would set the ecosystem back. It would be better for Bitcoin Cash to eat Bitcoin’s lunch over the next several months. Then there could be an orderly transfer of wealth with the earliest adopters making the greatest profits.

Bitcoin Core is not defenseless. Things will get crazy. This is more than a battle for today’s digital tokens. It’s a battle for who influences the future of money.

Better to have your Bitcoin affairs in order prior to Saturday.

I remain irresponsibly allocated in Bitcoin Cash.

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Battle of the Bitcoins: Core vs Cash

You will see a lot of articles on Bitcoin this week. This is what you really need to know.

Bitcoin Core forked from Bitcoin Cash. That’s right. You will hear that said the other way around in 99% of articles, tweets etc but Bitcoin Core altered the way digital signatures are handled to:

  1. Keep an artificial block size limit in place
  2. Provide capability to add a paid service called Lightning Network on top of Bitcoin to solve the problem created in #1

This basic change in how Bitcoin operates means Bitcoin Core is a fork of the original code and that Bitcoin Cash retains the characteristics that made it a 100B market cap with eyes on further exponential growth.

The facts around Core vs Cash are hotly disputed but people are slowly waking up to the truth.

Here’s more about why this distinction between coins matters and who will win (and where to put your funds).

Bitcoin Core promises to solve the scaling problem using SegWit to enable the “Lightning Network”. The Lightning Network is a second layer solution designed to handle transactions (for a fee of course!) and then using Bitcoin only as a settlement layer. Do you see the problem yet? It negates the primary features of Bitcoin. Bitcoin becomes captured by Blockstream, the proponents of SegWit and the Lightning Network. Blockstream will make billions from this scenario. Oh, did I mention several of the Bitcoin Core developers are also Blockstream employees? Blockstream intends to be the vampire squid of Crypto.

Think of money. Then think of Visa. Visa would love to eliminate money! The Lightning Network is like Visa. If Lightning Network were enabled Blockstream would be grifting from every transaction on the Bitcoin network.

Bitcoin Cash promises to solve the scaling problem by increasing the block size. This allows scale using Bitcoin Cash quickly and cheaply without a thrid party involved. This keeps the promise of what made Bitcoin appeal to many early adopters as well as protecting Bitcoin’s resistance to control, censorship and corruption.

So, what’s been going on? A war. I’ve been posting about Bitcoin Cash for a few months. It had a ridiculous spike and retrace even for the wild west of Crypto. But in a few months that will be a blip on the chart. Crypto veterans have seen the craziest things and we’re practically immune. Crypto is changing the world and rewriting the rules of money. It’s going to be fucking messy for a while.

Predictions are a fool’s game but I’m a fool. I expect that BCH resumes it’s climb in next 48 hours and BTC will not reach $7,000 again. In a few months BCH will be king and BTC will be #rekt.

Caveat emptor, motherfuckers.

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Bitcoin Cash: Called the Shot

Bitcoin Cash up 30+% since my last blog post two days ago and over 115% up in past week.

The next two weeks of price action will be epic. Bitcoin may go to $10k and $5k by end of November. Bitcoin Cash could break $1,000 or maybe even $2,000?

I remain irresponsibly allocated to my Bitcoin Cash long with zero Bitcoin Segwit coins. Here’s a look back at some recent tweets:

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UNITED STATES OF BITCOIN

It’s over. Bend the knee to Bitcoin. Bezos and Musk will be court jesters in the age of Bitcoin.

Neckbeards in Lambos are our future. Men who can’t wash their nether regions unassisted are the new financial lords of the universe. They mined Bitcoin on their mom’s AMD laptop in 2012 and now they can buy 50% of the companies on the S&P.

Fly’s hallowed halls are in decay. Millenial Bitcoin Operators are taking over. Don’t fear, we will be sure to reserve space for a plaque to honor the past greatness of Stock traders. RIP.

But things are unsettled in Crypto. Bitcoin nears $6,700 but it’s a speeding train headed to a valley with no bridge.

Alas, the neckbeards are taking arms against each other. They’ve taken breaks from LARPing to point their sharp barbs and most wicked memes in each other’s general direction and shots have been fired.

We have Battle of the Bitcoins.

  • Bitcoin Core. Headed by lead dev and Blockstream CEO Adam Back
  • Bitcoin Cash. The version of Bitcoin that honors the original design and direction of Bitcoin
  • Bitcoin 2x. To be forked from Bitcoin Core in ~2 weeks

If it didn’t immediately jump out at you…..the fucking CEO of Blockstream is the lead dev of Bitcoin Core. LOL that’s like Blankfein being the Fed Reserve Chair. Conflict of interest much? And then Bitcoin Core wonders why people are pissed off. Blockstream exists to siphon value from Bitcoin into their own coffers. This battle is about taking control of Bitcoin back from Blockstream.

Much like Highlander, there can be only ONE Bitcoin. These three versions will battle for supremacy and there will be epic levels of fuckery in two weeks. Expect 50% intraday price swings. All you blue balled Bitcoin bears will see fantastical price crashes. But Bitcoin may hit $10k by mid November before the fireworks begin!

So, here’s your Bitcoin survival plan:

  • Put coins on an exchange that will grant holders 2x coins soon after fork.
  • Set your sell / buy orders as you see fit ahead of the fork.
  • Buckle the fuck up.

Personally I’ve gone full retard. I am all in on Bitcoin Cash. I will be sitting on the sidelines with a big bag of popcorn in mid November. I am playing the long game. I will either get #REKT in true Crypto legend fashion or I will 10x my returns for getting in early and low. I am what I call “irresponsibly allocated”.

Many of you may have real world responsibilities that prevent you from YOLO’ing your net worth on a monthly basis like yours truly. However, if you do own some Bitcoin you can hedge with Bitcoin Cash. I don’t care if you agree with my investing thesis at 14:1 ratio you can hedge your Bitcoin portfolio with Bitcoin Cash and it fucking makes sense. It’s cheap insurance.

The next few weeks will determine if I get my dick guillotined or am able to buy a small private island.

Good day to you sir.

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What does it take to understand Bitcoin?

 

Let’s be clear about something… There will be winners and losers in Crypto. When the Internet was new people couldn’t envision how the web would impact their lives. Now, most people can’t take a crap without taking their smartphone with them.

I made great money trading dot com stocks. Most of those companies do not exist anymore but the survivors dominate. History doesn’t repeat but it does rhyme. Most of the current coins will die but the survivors will be here for 100+ years. So much money will move into the surviving coins it will be the greatest wealth transfer in history. Stay frosty, don’t fall in love, and keep your eyes on the prize.

For those who are swimming against the tide of Crypto you are fighting progress. Crypto isn’t going anywhere. This is not a drill. This *is* a game changing event. Events of this magnitude come around every 30-40 years. Your choice when you turn the corner and switch from skeptic to interested to daily user. At the least, keep your options open. Should you go all in YOLO style? Definitely not. Should you put some play money into a coin to learn how it works? YES.

And remember, Cryptocurrency is <9 years old. It’s already changing the world. It’s going to be messy for a while. REALLY MESSY. This is easy to forget in our fast forward life. When in doubt, zoom out.

So call the crash in Bitcoin. It’s expected. It takes brass balls (and some good trading) to be in this market. But you SHOULD be in this market.

Current events: Bitcoin Gold forked from Bitcoin yesterday. In a month there is another planned fork for Bitcoin 2x. On August 1st Bitcoin forked to Bitcoin Cash.

That equals FOUR Bitcoins. What a mess. I warned about this months ago. The only thing that can kill Bitcoin is Bitcoin. My view on this is that only one Bitcoin will survive. It will be the coin that most closely follows the original design of Bitcoin. It’s going to get really weird in Q4. Bitcoin needs an enema.

I’m not here to convince anyone or offer trading advice. Well, except this call:

Follow my twitter if you’d like more regular updates.

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