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<channel>
	<title>Technical Analysis &#124; Danny</title>
	<atom:link href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog</link>
	<description>Just another  weblog</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 12 Mar 2010 20:33:46 +0000</pubDate>
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			<item>
		<title>CNBC Observation</title>
		<link>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/12/cnbc-observation/</link>
		<comments>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/12/cnbc-observation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Mar 2010 20:33:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Small Bags of Garbage]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/?p=4437</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Has anyone noticed that the huge ticker of the dow on CNBS has been in green font, even when trading lower?  Since it&#8217;s clearly no accident, the question is why?  I mean, I get their m.o., but at the same time, I don&#8217;t.  Does green make me incrementally more positive on the whole market, or [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Has anyone noticed that the huge ticker of the dow on CNBS has been in green font, even when trading lower?  Since it&#8217;s clearly no accident, the question is why?  I mean, I get their m.o., but at the same time, I don&#8217;t.  Does green make me incrementally more positive on the whole market, or even specific stocks?  It&#8217;s fucking ludicrous.  It&#8217;s ostentatious.  It&#8217;s CNBC.  That&#8217;s a good slogan, btw, take it, pro bono.</p>
<p>What other subliminal messages do they throw at us?  I mean, if it&#8217;s going to be be green font on down days, why not a pie in the face to any guest who doesn&#8217;t agree with what MCC tits are saying?</p>
<p>And this begs the question&#8230;what if St. Patty&#8217;s day is a down day?  Can COMCAST implement a mandatory green tie policy?  That would make me ridiculously bullish.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Textbook Example of Momentum:</title>
		<link>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/11/textbook-example-of-momentum/</link>
		<comments>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/11/textbook-example-of-momentum/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Mar 2010 03:45:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[--Stock Commentary--]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/?p=4427</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In my very first &#8220;Rip or Explode&#8221; post, I cited Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc. (DPS: 34.97 -0.17%)  as a stock that worked well, we just missed the entry.

Today DPS showed up on my scan again:

This is a textbook example of what I like to see out of the &#8220;Rip or Explode&#8221; scan that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my very first &#8220;Rip or Explode&#8221; post, I cited Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=DPS&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('DPS','bfcHW');">DPS</a>: 34.97 <font color="#FF0000">-0.17%</font>)  as a stock that worked well, we just missed the entry.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/02/dps.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-4358" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/30995030126ce9d7cfccd07077a31bd4.png" alt="dps" width="300" height="190" /></a></p>
<p>Today DPS showed up on my scan again:</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/dps2.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4428" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/0983a14f041d395def3308fd8e5fec49.png" alt="dps2" width="570" height="391" /></a></p>
<p>This is a textbook example of what I like to see out of the &#8220;Rip or Explode&#8221; scan that I post, and quite a few end up exhibiting similar momentum.  The challenge is twofold: get the right stock, and manage the exit.  Had I entered on the first entry (which is what I prefer), there&#8217;s no telling I would have held this long.  This is why to capture to extra momentum, you would want to set a trailing stop.  I sell automatically when I&#8217;m up 15-25% percent, but depending on the size of the position, I will trail with a stop, and you can see why.</p>
<p>Take   (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=HSNI&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('HSNI','bfcHW');">HSNI</a>: 29.53 <font color="#4AA02C">+1.10%</font>)  , highlighted in the same post as DPS, except that this one did have a valid entry:</p>
<p style="text-align: left"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/02/hsni.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-4359" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/473470c7d8b685ec280073b949d2fb35.png" alt="hsni" width="300" height="189" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left">And look at it now, up 33% from entry in less than 2 weeks:</p>
<p style="text-align: left"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/hsni12.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4431" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/0b034c2b478a4cc3de1690274780ebd1.png" alt="hsni12" width="570" height="390" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left">This is what you <em>most ideally</em> want to see from the list.</p>
<p style="text-align: left">Now, compare this to some other picks from last week:</p>
<p style="text-align: left">Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=GLRE&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('GLRE','bfcHW');">GLRE</a>: 25.00 <font color="#FF0000">-0.32%</font>) : Still above support so I&#8217;m giving it a chance, but the stop is tighter because based on pattern it <em>should </em>be popping here.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/glre2.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4432" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/c55ccba1a2dba8fd1e65329617b67dd4.png" alt="glre2" width="570" height="399" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left"> (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=AHD&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('AHD','bfcHW');">AHD</a>: 6.63 <font color="#FF0000">-2.50%</font>)  : This stock had strong resistance at 7:30 which it could not break.  The selling has been light on this pullback, but like GLRE, when a stock doesn&#8217;t fit to the pattern you have to be cautious.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/ahd2.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4433" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/726826a84b28be3eae026ea7f273d6b0.png" alt="ahd2" width="570" height="398" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left">Crosstex Energy, Inc. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=XTXI&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('XTXI','bfcHW');">XTXI</a>: 9.14 <font color="#4AA02C">+0.33%</font>) : This one looks better than AHD to me, but they are both in similar patters in the same sector, so they will probably trade the same.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/xtxi.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4434" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/acf9d85533d8bd573fcf2493bd8ad07a.png" alt="xtxi" width="570" height="398" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left">All of these stocks are slightly weaker than I like them, but still in their uptrend.  Since the market is overbought and these stocks have underperformed over this time, you would expect them show what they&#8217;re made of now, or they will sell-off.</p>
<p>XTXI and AHD are still up from entry, while  (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=LIWA&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('LIWA','bfcHW');">LIWA</a>: 9.40 <font color="#4AA02C">+0.75%</font>)  and GLRE are down a couple percent from entry.</p>
<p>All told, the small gains and losses on these so-far &#8220;failed&#8221; trades is +/- 0-8%, compared with gains of +20% on the winners.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Rip or Explode List 3-9-10</title>
		<link>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/09/rip-or-explode-list-3-9-10/</link>
		<comments>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/09/rip-or-explode-list-3-9-10/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 03:25:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[--Stock Commentary--]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/?p=4418</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[First, and update on recent Rip or Explode picks:

Stops are tighter and two are at breakeven.
I&#8217;ve decided to change the format of this.  Rather than track the stocks in a spreadsheet like the one above, I&#8217;m just going to list more stocks that pop up on the screen.  The spreadsheet reflected a portfolio dedicated to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>First, and update on recent Rip or Explode picks:</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/2010-03-09_2158.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4420" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/e401d18d5ce36fb53cfe70cac789dbaf.png" alt="2010-03-09_2158" width="570" height="99" /></a></p>
<p>Stops are tighter and two are at breakeven.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve decided to change the format of this.  Rather than track the stocks in a spreadsheet like the one above, I&#8217;m just going to list more stocks that pop up on the screen.  The spreadsheet reflected a portfolio dedicated to the scan.  Therefore, that list was a secondary parsing as to what I thought were the best setups.  Instead, I&#8217;ll just offer a wider array of stocks.</p>
<p> (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=yuii&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('yuii','bfcHW');">YUII</a>: 10.30 <font color="#4AA02C">+4.89%</font>) , which was on the list already but I was sold,  (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=wilc&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('wilc','bfcHW');">WILC</a>: 6.07 <font color="#FF0000">-12.66%</font>) , and  (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=slk&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('slk','bfcHW');">SLK</a>: 0.00 <font color="#FF0000">N/A</font>)  are my favorites after a quick glance.</p>
<p>But there&#8217;s also</p>
<p> (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=RST&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('RST','bfcHW');">RST</a>: 25.97 <font color="#4AA02C">+1.29%</font>) , Ruby Tuesday, Inc. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=RT&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('RT','bfcHW');">RT</a>: 10.74 <font color="#4AA02C">+1.90%</font>) , Sonic Corporation (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=sonc&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('sonc','bfcHW');">SONC</a>: 10.40 <font color="#4AA02C">+1.46%</font>) ,  (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=mapp&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('mapp','bfcHW');">MAPP</a>: 16.225 <font color="#4AA02C">+0.22%</font>) , Brunswick Corporation (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=bc&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('bc','bfcHW');">BC</a>: 15.87 <font color="#4AA02C">+1.21%</font>) , Skechers USA, Inc. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=skx&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('skx','bfcHW');">SKX</a>: 33.19 <font color="#FF0000">-1.48%</font>) , Force Protection, Inc. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=frpt&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('frpt','bfcHW');">FRPT</a>: 6.55 <font color="#4AA02C">+0.46%</font>) , Boise Inc. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=bz&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('bz','bfcHW');">BZ</a>: 5.58 <font color="#4AA02C">+2.39%</font>) , and  (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=syz&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('syz','bfcHW');">SYZ</a>: 0.00 <font color="#FF0000">N/A</font>)  that may be worth browsing.</p>
<p>I lot of the breakouts from yesterdays scan (not posted) ended up reversing today, with only about 33% moving higher today.  It appears that short term momentum is waning/reversing, so while it makes sense to watch these stocks, I am not taking a position in any of today&#8217;s selections.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Market Breadth 3-9-10</title>
		<link>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/09/market-breadth-3-9-10/</link>
		<comments>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/09/market-breadth-3-9-10/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 03:14:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[

  ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/2.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4423" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/9b46a1d835b6e1b752c53ea03b65d94d.png" alt="2" width="570" height="303" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/dbhgs.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4424" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/f75342d0885cc2e55afbdf70c029e304.png" alt="dbhgs" width="570" height="303" /></a></p>
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		<item>
		<title>Thursday Market Breadth</title>
		<link>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/05/thursday-market-breadth-6/</link>
		<comments>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/05/thursday-market-breadth-6/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Mar 2010 06:20:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Market Commentary]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/?p=4407</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
  ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/db2s.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-4414" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/35f213ae73a5e24f1ce55296cbe9f0a3.png" alt="db2s" width="570" height="393" /></a></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Rip Or Explode List for 3-5-10</title>
		<link>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/05/rip-or-explode-list-for-3-5-10/</link>
		<comments>http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/2010/03/05/rip-or-explode-list-for-3-5-10/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Mar 2010 06:16:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Danny</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[--Stock Commentary--]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/?p=4403</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[No picks for Friday, but I like  (KIRK: 20.11 +3.08%) ,  (JAZZ: 11.35 -0.96%) , and Retail Ventures, Inc. (RVI: 9.72 -0.61%)  setups, so they&#8217;re &#8220;on the watchlist.&#8221;

  ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No picks for Friday, but I like  (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=KIRK&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('KIRK','bfcHW');">KIRK</a>: 20.11 <font color="#4AA02C">+3.08%</font>) ,  (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=JAZZ&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('JAZZ','bfcHW');">JAZZ</a>: 11.35 <font color="#FF0000">-0.96%</font>) , and Retail Ventures, Inc. (<a href="http://www.ibankcoin.com/quote.php?symbol=RVI&#038;submit=Get+Quote"  onmouseout="BFC_hideTip('bfcHW')" onmouseover="BFC_changeSymbol('RVI','bfcHW');">RVI</a>: 9.72 <font color="#FF0000">-0.61%</font>)  setups, so they&#8217;re &#8220;on the watchlist.&#8221;</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/files/2010/03/swings.png" ><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-4404" src="http://ibankcoin.com/dannyblog/wp-content/imagescaler/8e04e04a5be2cfebe7b62e889f9ee9b3.png" alt="swings" width="300" height="49" /></a></p>
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