iBankCoin
Full-time stock trader. Follow me here and on 12631
Joined Apr 1, 2010
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The Only Permanence is Impermanence

I sold out of the remainder of my long-term WWE position back in early-March, discussed in this blog post, after my original bull long-term thesis in this post when the stock had an $8-handle back in 2012.

The stock is down a cool 45% this morning, nearly twenty points down from where I sold it (and it is only a $10 stock).

I, of course, had no sense that the stock would subsequently get shellacked to this extent after I sold it.

However, this type of price action is certainly a risk many investors/traders do not consider when their holdings may develop an unsustainably-steep trend (the rubber band snapping back effect).

All in all, there are two lessons worth noting from the WWE long-term investment:

  1. Even for investments, beyond trades, you should be consistently evaluating the original thesis for making your bet, including technicals. Here, the stock worked through an abnormally-steep angle of ascent and garnered a wildly bullish following along the way. Such an angle was simply too steep, abnormal, and, in effect, unhealthy to persist (see my post above where I sold the stock and outlined the technicals/sentiment). 
  2. The only permanence in life is impermanence–You should be willing to part with a long-term investment when you deem it to be objectively correct, regardless of the buy-and-hold-forever philosophy which has caused far more damage than many would care to admit.
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14 comments

  1. bernie cornfeld
    bernie cornfeld

    Copy….paste… Good words of wisdom. Thanks Chess

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  2. UncleBuccs

    Chess, you know I’ve watched all of this unfold, with great appreciation. Today’s event just adds to the legend of this trade. Absolutely epic!.

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    • chessNwine

      Thank you, Unc. I side-stepped the People’s Elbow.

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    • Granpa

      Hey Unc, if AMKR can’t take out 9.30 this may be your short spot. Stalking it too.

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      • UncleBuccs

        Grandpa – I’m literally heading out the door for a 3 day weekend. Thanks for the heads up, but Im going to have to just root for you ….if you pull the trigger. Will check it out tonight for sure…

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  3. bood

    there’s lot of shorts around ( sell volumes ) . makes case for an upcoming insane rally , also .

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  4. BurgDeBerg

    This was a master class in real-time swing trading. Perfect entry, patience, and exit. Just a beautiful trade – congrats.

    Their dividend is attractive again today after the plunge, but there are a lot of trapped longs who may panic yet. Are you stalking another entry in this name any time soon?

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    • chessNwine

      Thank you, Burg. Much appreciated…I will let the dust settle into Memorial Day on this one most likely and take a look at it into the summer months. It has just seen a huge run-up and trapped many people. Best to let the mess sort itself out first.

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  5. Dirk

    Well, buy and hold forever has worked for me. But then again ive been buying monthly and holding index funds for a long time and ive done just fine. Turn the markets into your own mini vegas and you will realize the house always wins.

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  6. Brian

    Is this what they mean by buy the dip?

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